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Guide

Where to submit your machine learning paper

The useful question is not which venue is best. It is which room will judge your paper on the thing it actually has. Get that wrong and you lose six months to a rejection that was decided before anyone read your results.

Published 11 August 2026

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24.5% accepted at NeurIPS 2025 5,290 of 21,575 submissions
27.4% accepted at ICLR 2026 5,355 of 13,763 decisions
6.90 median phdflow score of an accepted NeurIPS paper against 6.70 at ICLR
22% of papers land where the outcome is a coin flip 154 of 697 we measured

The short version

Start here

Name the strongest thing your paper has

Not the topic. The asset. Venues differ mostly in which kind of strength they know how to reward, and a paper sent to a room that does not score its best feature is being judged on its second best.

Matching a paper's strongest asset to a kind of venue
If the strongest thing isSend it whereBecause
A result that beats a real baselineA top general conference.This is the case those venues are built to score, and the one where their reviewer instructions give you the most credit for evidence.
An idea that is ahead of its evidenceA venue with a real discussion phase, or a workshop first.A contribution that needs arguing needs somewhere to be argued. Without that, thin evidence is simply thin evidence.
A dataset, benchmark or artifactA dedicated datasets and benchmarks track.Judged on construction, documentation and usefulness rather than on novelty, which is the axis a main track would mark it down on.
Careful work in an applied domainThe domain's own venue or a journal.General ML venues score novelty heavily. A field that rewards being correct over being first will not read your paper as unambitious.
A negative or replication resultA venue that names it as in scope.Some now solicit these explicitly. Sent anywhere else it reads as a paper whose method did not work.
A theoretical contributionA theory-friendly venue or a journal.Page limits and a reviewer pool tuned to empirical work are both against you at a general conference.

Deliberately named by kind rather than by conference. Which specific venue fits depends on your subfield, and the tracks and their scope statements change every cycle. Read the current call for papers before you commit to any of these.

The decision

Four questions, in this order

Who do you want to read this in three years

Ask it first because it settles most cases on its own and it is the only one that is about the work rather than about the calendar. If the people who would build on this go to one venue, that is the answer, and everything below is about timing rather than about choice.

Is the evidence finished, or is the idea finished

These fail differently. An unfinished idea with strong numbers survives review; a finished idea with thin numbers gets a soundness objection that no amount of writing answers. If the evidence is not there, the honest options are to run the experiments or to take the paper somewhere its argument can be discussed, not to submit and hope.

What does the next deadline cost you

The real cost of waiting for a better-fitting venue is a few months. The real cost of a bad fit is the same few months plus a rejection, minus the reviews you would have got from people who understood the work. Waiting is usually cheaper than it feels at two in the morning, and abstract registration closes before the paper deadline at the big venues, which is the deadline people actually miss.

Have you read the call for papers, or the folklore

Scope statements, tracks, page limits and policies on dual submission and preprints change every cycle, and most of what you know about a venue is from the last time you submitted. The call is short. The folklore is confidently wrong, which is the same failure this site has had to correct on its own pages twice.

What you are walking into

The bars are not where the folklore puts them

Two things worth knowing before you pick. Acceptance rates at the big venues are lower than most people carry in their heads, and the difference between the venues is smaller than the difference between papers.

About three papers in four are turned down

NeurIPS 2025 accepted 5,290 of 21,575 valid submissions, 24.52%. ICLR 2026 accepted 5,355 of 13,763 decisions, 27.4%, down from about 31% in each of the two years before. Rejection is the ordinary outcome for competent work, not a signal about your paper.

NeurIPS sits higher, but not by much

Reading 494 real decisions from both venues with the same scoring, the median accepted NeurIPS paper scored 6.90 and the median accepted ICLR paper 6.70. Real, consistent, and small next to the spread inside either venue. Choosing between these two on difficulty alone is optimising the wrong variable.

One paper in five is decided by something you cannot see

Across the 697 decisions we measured, 154 landed in a band half a point wide where acceptance ran at 41.6%. In that band nothing recoverable from the manuscript separates the accepted from the rejected. If your paper is there, venue choice matters less than having a second venue ready.

The full comparison of the two bars · What happens inside that band

The options people skip

A top conference is not the only place this can go

Three routes get dismissed by reflex and are right more often than their reputation suggests.

A workshop, when the idea is early

You get a deadline, a room of people who care about exactly this, and feedback while the work can still change. At most venues a non-archival workshop does not stop you submitting the full paper later, but that rule is venue-specific and worth checking rather than assuming.

A journal, when the work is careful rather than fast

No fixed deadline, no single-shot decision, and a revision cycle instead of a rebuttal window measured in days. For applied and theoretical work that does not fit a novelty-first reviewer pool, this is often the better room rather than the consolation one.

The second-choice conference, decided now rather than later

Pick it before you submit, while you can still see the paper clearly. Deciding after a rejection means deciding while demoralised and against a deadline, which is how papers get rewritten that did not need rewriting.

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Where should this paper go?

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Conference figures from the NeurIPS 2025 programme chairs and the ICLR 2026 retrospective. The objections that end papers, sorted by whether they can still be fixed, are in why papers get rejected.

phdflow reads a finished draft against the guidelines of the venue you are aiming at and returns an accept or reject call with the objections behind it. Scored against 697 real decisions: AUC 0.91 and 96% accuracy on 297 ICLR 2025 papers, one false accept in 149 rejects. The full measurement. Read a finished review before you pay for one. Your first paper gets a free preview; the full report is 60 credits, €9. No account needed. Pricing.